Texas is the 19th most Republican state, voting 6.30% more Republican than the country as a whole.
Based on election data since 2000, Texas is trending Democratic.
More information on past presidential, congressional, and state elections can be found on the Texas page.
My party abbreviation guide is here.
President
Increasing Democratic strength in the cities and some suburbs, and a near-miss in 2018’s US Senate race, have made Democrats focus more effort on Texas than in past elections. Texas may very well vote less Republican than in 2016, but having the second-highest population means a lot of voters to flip.
Outlook: Lean Trump (38 electoral votes)
Congress
U.S. Senate (Class 1)
Ted Cruz (R) is up for re-election in 2024.
U.S. Senate (Class 2)
John Cornyn (R-inc) vs. MJ Hegar (D), David B. Collins (G), Kerry McKennon (L), Ricardo Turullols-Bonilla (I-W/I)
Outlook: Strong Cornyn (Republican hold)
U.S. House
Competitive Districts
District 7: Lizzie Fletcher (D-inc) vs. Wesley Hunt (R), Shawn Kelly (L)
Outlook: Lean Fletcher (Democratic hold)
District 10: Michael McCaul (R-inc) vs. Michael Siegel (D), Roy Eriksen (L)
Outlook: Lean McCaul (Republican hold)
District 21: Chip Roy (R-inc) vs. Wendy Davis (D), Thomas Wakely (G), Arthur DiBianca (L)
Outlook: Lean Roy (Republican hold)
District 22: Troy Nehls (R) vs. Sri Kulkarni (D), Joseph LeBlanc (L)
Outlook: Tilt Nehls (Republican hold)
District 23: Tony Gonzales (R) vs. Gina Ortiz Jones (D), Beto Villela (L)
Outlook: Tilt Ortiz Jones (Democratic gain)
District 24: Elizabeth Van Duyne (R) vs. Candace Valenzuela (D), Darren Hamilton (L), Mark Bauer (I), Steve Kuzmich (I)
Outlook: Tilt Van Duyne (Republican hold)
District 32: Colin Allred (D-inc) vs. Genevieve Collins (R), Christy Mowrey (L), Jason Sigmon (I)
Outlook: Likely Allred (Democratic hold)
Other Districts
District 1: Louis Gohmert (R-inc) vs. Hank Gilbert (D)
District 2: Daniel Crenshaw (R-inc) vs. Sima Ladjevardian (D), Elliott Scheirman (L)
District 3: Van Taylor (R-inc) vs. Helane “Lulu” Seikaly (D), Christopher Claytor (L)
District 4: Patrick Fallon (R) vs. Russell Foster (D), Lou Antonelli (L), Tracy Jones (I-W/I)
District 5: Lance Gooden (R-inc) vs. Carolyn Salter (D), Kevin Hale (L)
District 6: Ron Wright (R-inc) vs. Stephen Daniel (D), Melanie Black (L)
District 8: Kevin Brady (R-inc) vs. Elizabeth Hernandez (D), Chris Duncan (L)
District 9: Al Green (D-inc) vs. Johnny Teague (R), Jose Sosa (L)
District 11: August Pfluger II (R) vs. Jon Hogg (D), Wacey Alpha Cody (L)
District 12: Kay Granger (R-inc) vs. Lisa Welch (D), Trey Holcomb (L)
District 13: Ronny Jackson (R) vs. Gus Trujillo (D), Jack Westbrook (L)
District 14: Randy Weber (R-inc) vs. Adrienne Bell (D)
District 15: Vicente Gonzalez (D-inc) vs. Monica Hernandez (R), Ross Lynn Leone (L)
District 16: Veronica Escobar (D-inc) vs. Irene Armendariz-Jackson (R), Ben Leder (L)
District 17: Pete Sessions (R) vs. Richard Kennedy (D), Ted Brown (L)
District 18: Sheila Jackson Lee (D-inc) vs. Wendell Champion (R), Luke Spencer (L), Vince Duncan (I)
District 19: Jodey Arrington (R-inc) vs. Thomas Watson (D), Joe Burnes (L)
District 20: Joaquin Castro (D-inc) vs. Mauro Garza (R), Jeffrey Blunt (L)
District 25: Roger Williams (R-inc) vs. Julie Oliver (D), Bill Kelsey (L)
District 26: Michael Burgess (R-inc) vs. Carol Iannuzzi (D), Mark Boler (L)
District 27: Michael Cloud (R-inc) vs. Ricardo De La Fuente (D), Phil Gray (L)
District 28: Henry Cuellar (D-inc) vs. Sandra Whitten (R), Bekah Congdon (L)
District 29: Sylvia Garcia (D-inc) vs. Jaimy Blanco (R), Phil Kurtz (L)
District 30: Eddie Bernice Johnson (D-inc) vs. Demetrick “Tre” Pennie (R), Eric Williams (I)
District 31: John Carter (R-inc) vs. Donna Imam (D), Clark Patterson (L), Jonathan Scott (I-W/I)
District 33: Marc Veasey (D-inc) vs. Fabian Cordova Vasquez (R), Jason Reeves (L), Carlos Quintanilla (I), Renedria Welton (I)
District 34: Filemon Vela (D-inc) vs. Rey Gonzalez (R), Anthony Cristo (L), Chris Royal (I)
District 35: Lloyd Doggett (D-inc) vs. Jennifer Sharon (R), Mark Loewe (L), Jason Mata, Sr. (I)
District 36: Brian Babin (R-inc) vs. Brandon “Rashad” Lewis (D), Hal Ridley (G), Chad Abbey (L)
State Elections
Governor
Greg Abbott (R) is up for re-election in 2022.
State Legislature
| Chamber | Control | GOP | DEM | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | ||||
| House |