Big fan of election and demographic numbers since 2006
 

2020 Election Outlook – Virginia

Virginia is the 14th most Democratic state, voting 1.57% more Democratic than the country as a whole.

Based on election data since 2000, Virginia is trending Democratic.

More information on past presidential, congressional, and state elections can be found on the Virginia page.

My party abbreviation guide is here.

President

Outlook: Strong Biden (13 electoral votes)

Congress

U.S. Senate (Class 1)

Tim Kaine (D) is up for re-election in 2024.

U.S. Senate (Class 2)

Mark Warner (D-inc) vs. Daniel Gade (R), Al Mina (I-W/I)

Outlook: Strong Warner (Democratic hold)

U.S. House

Competitive Districts

District 2: Elaine Luria (D-inc) vs. Scott Taylor (R), David Foster (I)

Outlook: Lean Luria (Democratic hold)

District 5: Bob Good (R) vs. Cameron Webb (D)

Outlook: Lean Good (Republican hold)

District 7: Abigail Spanberger (D-inc) vs. Nick Freitas (R)

Outlook: Lean Spanberger (Democratic hold)

Other Districts

District 1: Rob Wittman (R-inc) vs. Qasim Rashid (D)

District 3: Bobby Scott (D-inc) vs. John Collick, Jr. (R)

District 4: Donald McEachin (D-inc) vs. Leon Benjamin, Sr. (R)

District 6: Benjamin Cline (R-inc) vs. Nicholas Betts (R)

District 8: Don Beyer (D-inc) vs. Jeff Jordan (R)

District 9: Morgan Griffith (R-inc) vs. Jeremiah Heaton (D)

District 10: Jennifer Wexton (D-inc) vs. Aliscia Andrews (R)

District 11: Gerry Connolly (D-inc) vs. Manga Anantatmula (R)

State Elections

Governor

Ralph Northam (D) is term-limited in 2021.

State Legislature

ChamberControlDEMGOPOthers
Senate
DEM
21
19
0
House
DEM
55
45
0