Big fan of election and demographic numbers since 2006
 

2022 Election Outlook – Connecticut

Flag of Connecticut
Flag of Connecticut

My party abbreviation guide is here.

Connecticut is the 8th most Democratic state, voting 7.99% more Democratic than the nation as a whole.

Based on election data since 2000, Connecticut is steady (1.38% more Republican than 2000).

The current Cook Partisan Voting Index for Connecticut is D+6.97.

U.S. Senate (Class 1)

Chris Murphy (D) is up for re-election in 2024.

U.S. Senate (Class 3)

Richard Blumenthal (D-inc) vs. Leora Levy (R)

Outlook: Strong Blumenthal (Democratic hold)

U.S. House

District 1

John Larson (D-inc) vs. Larry Lazor (R)

District 2

Joe Courtney (D-inc) vs. Mike France (R)

District 3

Rosa DeLauro (D-inc) vs. Ami Chai (L), Justin Paglino (G)

District 4

Jim Himes (D-inc) vs. Jayme Stevenson (R)

District 5

Jahana Hayes (D-inc) vs. George Logan (R)

Analysis: This district leans Democratic but is working-class. Hayes will need to run up the margins in the district’s cities.

Outlook: Lean Hayes (Democratic hold)

State Elections

Governor

Ned Lamont (D-inc) vs. Bob Stefanowski (R), Aaron Lewis (L)

Outlook: Strong Lamont (Democratic hold)

State Legislature

ChamberControlDEMGOPOthers
Senate
DEM
24
12
House
DEM
97
54