My party abbreviation guide is here.
Ohio is the 20th most Republican state, voting 6.45% more Republican than the nation as a whole.
Based on election data since 2000, Ohio is trending Republican (8.45% more Republican than 2000).
The current Cook Partisan Voting Index for Ohio is R+5.86.
U.S. Senate (Class 1)
Sherrod Brown (D) is up for re-election in 2024.
U.S. Senate (Class 3)
Rob Portman (R) is retiring.
J.D. Vance (R) vs. Tim Ryan (D), Eric Meiring (I), Sam Ronan (I)
Analysis: With Ohio’s Republican trend in recent elections, Ryan faces an uphill battle in this race. He may overperform in the northeast because of his 20-year House tenure, but his margins there had recently narrowed. Ryan could pull out a win if he does better than Biden in suburban areas, especially those around Columbus, but it doesn’t seem likely.
Outlook: Lean Vance (Republican hold)
U.S. House
District 1
Steve Chabot (R-inc) vs. Greg Landsman (D)
Analysis: This district has a history of competitiveness; Chabot lost this district in 2008 before regaining it in 2010. He held the seat for the past decade, but if suburbs around Cincinnati trend leftward, Chabot could find himself in another tough re-election fight.
Outlook: Lean Chabot (Republican hold)
District 2
Brad Wenstrup (R-inc) vs. Samantha Meadows (D)
District 3
Joyce Beatty (D-inc) vs. Lee Stahley (R)
District 4
Jim Jordan (R-inc) vs. Tamie Wilson (D)
District 5
Bob Latta (R-inc) vs. Craig Swartz (D)
District 6
Bill Johnson (R-inc) vs. Louis Lyras (D)
District 7
Max Miller (R) vs. Matthew Diemer (D), Lynn Carol Gorman (I)
(Bob Gibbs (R) and Anthony Gonzalez (R) are retiring.)
District 8
Warren Davidson (R-inc) vs. Vanessa Enoch (D)
District 9
Marcy Kaptur (D-inc) vs. J. R. Majewski (R), Youseff Baddar (I)
Analysis: For 20 terms, Kaptur has mostly had easy wins in this working-class Toledo-based district. However, redistricting making this seat significantly more Republican and rightward trends in working class areas mean a more competitive race.
Outlook: Toss-Up
District 10
Mike Turner (R-inc) vs. David Esrati (D)
District 11
Shontel Brown (D-inc) vs. Eric Brewer (R)
District 12
Troy Balderson (R-inc) vs. Amy Rippel-Elton (D)
District 13
Emilia Sykes (D) vs. Madison Gesiotto (R)
Analysis: Tim Ryan (D) is running for U.S. Senate, leaving this right-trending northeast Ohio district open.
Outlook: Lean Gesiotto (Republican gain)
District 14
David Joyce (R-inc) vs. Matt Kilboy (D)
District 15
Mike Carey (R-inc) vs. Gary Josephson (D)
State Elections
Governor
Mike DeWine (R-inc) vs. Nan Whaley (D)
Outlook: Strong DeWine (Republican hold)
State Legislature
| Chamber | Control | GOP | DEM | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | ||||
| House |