Big fan of election and demographic numbers since 2006
 

2022 Election Outlook – Wisconsin

Flag of Wisconsin
Flag of Wisconsin

My party abbreviation guide is here.

Wisconsin is the 24th most Democratic state, voting 1.82% less Democratic than the nation as a whole.

Based on election data since 2000, Wisconsin is trending Republican (3.53% more Republican than 2000).

The current Cook Partisan Voting Index for Wisconsin is R+1.74.

U.S. Senate (Class 1)

Tammy Baldwin (D) is up for re-election in 2024.

U.S. Senate (Class 3)

Ron Johnson (R-inc) vs. Mandela Barnes (D)

Analysis: Wisconsin is highly competitive, but the strongly Republican WOW area may carry Johnson to another win.

Outlook: Lean Johnson (Republican hold)

U.S. House

District 1

Bryan Steil (R-inc) vs. Ann Roe (D), Charles Barman (I)

District 2

Mark Pocan (D-inc) vs. Erik Olsen (R), Douglas Alexander (I)

District 3

Brad Pfaff (D) vs. Derrick Van Orden (R)

Analysis: Ron Kind (D) is retiring from this district that went for Donald Trump (R) twice. Van Orden is running again and will likely be favored.

Outlook: Lean Van Orden (Republican gain)

District 4

Gwen Moore (D-inc) vs. Tim Rogers (R), Robert Raymond (I)

District 5

Scott Fitzgerald (R-inc) vs. Mike Van Someren (D)

District 6

Glenn Grothman (R-inc)unopposed

District 7

Tom Tiffany (R-inc) vs. Richard Ausman (D)

District 8

Mike Gallagher (R) vs. Jacob VandenPlas (L), Paul Boucher (I)

State Elections

Governor

Tony Evers (D-inc) vs. Tim Michels (R), Joan Ellis Beglinger (I), Jess Hisel (I)

Analysis: After narrowly winning in 2018, Evers will again face a competitive re-election in purple Wisconsin.

Outlook: Toss-Up

State Legislature

Chamber Control GOP DEM Others
Senate
GOP
21
11
House
GOP
61
38