Big fan of election and demographic numbers since 2006
 

2022 Election Outlook – Colorado

Flag of Colorado
Flag of Colorado

My party abbreviation guide is here.

Colorado is the 14th most Democratic state, voting 4.13% more Democratic than the nation as a whole.

Based on election data since 2000, Colorado is trending Democratic (17.92% more Democratic than 2000).

The current Cook Partisan Voting Index for Colorado is D+3.12.

U.S. Senate (Class 2)

John Hickenlooper (D) is up for re-election in 2026.

U.S. Senate (Class 3)

Michael Bennet (D-inc) vs. Joe O’Dea (R)

Analysis: Colorado may have trended Democratic in the last two decades, but Bennet has won by fairly close margins.

Outlook: Lean Bennet (Democratic hold)

U.S. House

District 1

Diana DeGette (D-inc) vs. Jennifer Qualteri (R)

District 2

Joe Neguse (D-inc) vs. Marshall Dawson (R)

District 3

Lauren Boebert (R-inc) vs. Adam Frisch (D)

District 4

Ken Buck (R-inc) vs. Ike McCorkle (D)

District 5

Doug Lamborn (R-inc) vs. David Torres (D)

District 6

Jason Crow (D-inc) vs. Steve Monahan (R)

District 7

Brittany Pettersen (D) vs. Erik Aadland (R)

Analysis: Ed Perlmutter (D) is retiring. This suburban Denver seat has trended left in the last two decades but could be competitive as an open seat.

Outlook: Lean Petersen (Democratic hold)

District 8 (new district)

Yadira Caraveo (D) vs. Barbara Kirkmeyer (R)

Analysis: This newly created district voted for Barack Obama in 2012, Donald Trump in 2016, and Joe Biden by 4 points in 2020. The district has Democratic areas next to Denver, and Republican areas in exurban Denver and Fort Collins. This district is the likely bellwether of how the House vote will go in 2022.

Outlook: Lean Kirkmeyer (Republican win)

State Elections

Governor

Jared Polis (D-inc) vs. Heidi Ganahl (R), Danielle Neuschwanger (ACN)

Outlook: Likely Polis (Democratic hold)

State Legislature

ChamberControlDEMGOPOthers
Senate
DEM
20
15
House
DEM
41
24