My party abbreviation guide is here.
California is the 5th most Democratic state, voting 12.21% more Democratic than the nation as a whole.
Based on election data since 2000, California is trending Democratic (13.41% more Democratic than 2000).
The current Cook Partisan Voting Index for California is D+13.83.
U.S. Senate (Class 1)
Dianne Feinstein (D) is up for re-election in 2024.
U.S. Senate (Class 3)
Alex Padilla (D-inc) vs. Mark Meuser (R)
Outlook: Solid Padilla (Democratic hold)
U.S. House
District 1
Doug LaMalfa (R-inc) vs. Max Steiner (D)
District 2
Jared Huffman (D-inc) vs. Douglas Brower (R)
District 3
Kevin Kiley (R) vs. Kermit Jones (D)
District 4
Mike Thompson (D-inc) vs. Matt Brock (R)
District 5
Tom McClintock (R-inc) vs. Michael J. Barkley (D)
District 6
Ami Bera (D-inc) vs. Tamika Hamilton (R)
District 7
Doris Matsui (D-inc) vs. Max Semenenko (R)
District 8
John Garamendi (D-inc) vs. Rudy Recile (R)
District 9
Josh Harder (D-inc) vs. Tom Patti (R)
Jerry McNerney (D) is retiring. Harder moved to campaign to represent this district, which is slightly more Democratic than the old CA-10. The anchor of this district, Stockton, will be the place to watch. It is minority-heavy, especially Hispanic and Asian, and trended rightward in 2020.
Outlook: Lean Harder (Democratic hold)
District 10
Mark DeSaulnier (D-inc) vs. Michael Ernest Kerr (G)
District 11
Nancy Pelosi (D-inc) vs. John Dennis (R)
District 12
Barbara Lee (D-inc) vs. Stephen Slauson
District 13
Adam Gray (D) vs. John Duarte (R)
Analysis: With Josh Harder running in the 9th district, this district will also be one to watch, as the Central Valley can swing wildly between midterms and presidential elections. It will also be a test of Democrats maintaining strong majorities with Hispanics.
Outlook: Toss-Up
District 14
Eric Swalwell (D-inc) vs. Allison Hayden (R)
District 15
Kevin Mullin (D) vs. David J. Canepa (D)
(Jackie Speier (D) is retiring.)
District 16
Anna Eshoo (D-inc) vs. Rishi Kumar (D)
District 17
Ro Khanna (D-inc) vs. Ritesh Tandon (R)
District 18
Zoe Lofgren (D-inc) vs. Peter Hernandez (R)
District 19
Jimmy Panetta (D-inc) vs. Jeff Gorman (R)
District 20
Kevin McCarthy (R-inc) vs. Marisa Wood
District 21
Jim Costa (D-inc) vs. Michael Maher (R)
District 22
David Valadao (R-inc) vs. Rudy Salas (D)
Analysis: Valadao has long over-performed in Democratic districts, going back to his State Assembly win in 2010, but will face a strong challenger in the relatively moderate Democrat Salas, who has won several terms in this area.
Outlook: Lean Valadao (Republican hold)
District 23
Jay Obernolte (R-inc) vs. Derek Marshall (D)
District 24
Salud Carbajal (D-inc) vs. Brad Allen (R)
District 25
Raul Ruiz (D-inc) vs. Brian E. Hawkins (R)
District 26
Julia Brownley (D-inc) vs. Matt Jacobs (R)
District 27
Mike Garcia (R-inc) vs. Christy Smith (D)
Analysis: Take three of this match-up, only in a district modified to be slightly more Democratic. With Simi Valley removed, this district is now entirely within Los Angeles County. Will the third time be the charm for Smith in a double-digit Biden district? Or will she become California’s Dan Seals?
Outlook: Lean Garcia (Republican hold)
District 28
Judy Chu (D-inc) vs. Wes Hallman (R)
District 29
Tony Cardenas (D-inc) vs. Angelica Duenas (D)
District 30
Adam Schiff (D-inc) vs. G ‘Maebe A. Girl’ Pudlo
District 31
Grace Napolitano (D-inc) vs. Daniel Bocic Martinez (R)
District 32
Brad Sherman (D-inc) vs. Lucie Lapointe Volotzky (R)
District 33
Pete Aguilar (D-inc) vs. John Mark Porter (R)
District 34
Jimmy Gomez (D-inc) vs. David Kim (D)
District 35
Norma Torres (D-inc) vs. Mike Cargile (R)
District 36
Ted Lieu (D-inc) vs. John Collins III (R)
District 37
Sydney Kamlager (D) vs. Jan Perry (D)
(Karen Bass (D) is running for Los Angeles Mayor.)
District 38
Linda Sanchez (D-inc) vs. Eric Ching (R)
District 39
Mark Takano (D-inc) vs. Aja Smith (R)
District 40
Young Kim (R-inc) vs. Asif Mahmood (D)
District 41
Ken Calvert (R-inc) vs. Will Rollins (D)
District 42
Robert Garcia (D) vs. John Briscoe (R)
(Lucille Roybal-Allard (D) and Alan Lowenthal (D) are retiring.)
District 43
Maxine Waters (D-inc) vs. Omar Navarro (R)
District 44
Nanette Barragan (D-inc) vs. Paul Jones (R)
District 45
Michelle Steel (R-inc) vs. Jay Chen (D)
District 46
Lou Correa (D-inc) vs. Christopher Gonzalez (R)
District 47
Katie Porter (D-inc) vs. Scott Baugh (R)
District 48
Darrell Issa (R-inc) vs. Stephen Houlahan (D)
District 49
Mike Levin (D-inc) vs. Brian Maryott (R)
District 50
Scott Peters (D-inc) vs. Corey Gustafson (R)
District 51
Sara Jacobs (D-inc) vs. Stan Caplan (R)
District 52
Juan Vargas (D-inc) vs. Tyler Geffeney (R)
State Elections
Governor
Gavin Newsom (D-inc) vs. Brian Dahle (R)
Outlook: Solid Newsom (Democratic hold)
State Legislature
| Chamber | Control | DEM | GOP | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | ||||
| Assembly |