Big fan of election and demographic numbers since 2006
 

2022 Election Outlook – Arkansas

Flag of Arkansas
Flag of Arkansas

My party abbreviation guide is here.

Arkansas is the 6th most Republican state, voting 15.58% more Republican than the nation as a whole.

Based on election data since 2000, Arkansas is trending Republican (26.11% more Republican than 2000).

The current Cook Partisan Voting Index for Arkansas is R+15.94.

U.S. Senate (Class 2)

Tom Cotton (R) is up for re-election in 2026.

U.S. Senate (Class 3)

John Boozman (R-inc) vs. Natalie James (D), Kenneth Cates (L)

Outlook: Solid Boozman (Republican hold)

U.S. House

District 1

Rick Crawford (R-inc) vs. Monte Hodges (D)

District 2

French Hill (R-inc) vs. Quintessa Hathaway (D), Michael White (L)

District 3

Steve Womack (R-inc) vs. Lauren Mallett-Hays (D), Michael Kalagias (L)

District 4

Bruce Westerman (R-inc) vs. John White (D), Gregory Maxwell (L)

State Elections

Governor

Asa Hutchinson (R) is term-limited.

Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) vs. Chris Jones (D), Ricky Dale Harrington Jr. (L), William E. Gates (I)

Outlook: Solid Sanders (Republican hold)

State Legislature

ChamberControlGOPDEMOthers
Senate
GOP
27
7
1 I
House
GOP
76
24