Big fan of election and demographic numbers since 2006
 

2022 Election Outlook – Georgia

Flag of Georgia

My party abbreviation guide is here.

Georgia is the 24th most Democratic state, voting 1.84% less Democratic than the national average.

Based on election data since 2000, Georgia is trending Democratic (8.00% more Democratic than 2000).

The current Cook Partisan Voting Index for Georgia is R+2.96.

U.S. Senate (Class 2)

Jon Ossoff (D) is up for re-election in 2026.

U.S. Senate (Class 3)

Raphael Warnock (D-inc) vs. Herschel Walker (R), Chase Oliver (L)

Analysis: Along with Ossoff, Warnock narrowly won in the early 2021 special election runoff. Now Warnock is running for a full term against former football player Walker. Warnock and Walker have faced controversies, and polls have gone back and forth.

Outlook: Toss-Up

U.S. House

District 1

Buddy Carter (R-inc) vs. Wade Herring (D)

District 2

Sanford Bishop (D-inc) vs. Chris West (R)

District 3

Drew Ferguson (R-inc) vs. Val Almonord (D)

District 4

Hank Johnson (D-inc) vs. Jonathan Chavez (R)

District 5

Nikema Williams (D-inc) vs. Christian Zimm (R)

District 6

Rich McCormick (R) vs. Bob Christian (D)

Analysis: In the previous redistricting, this district was competitive and trending Democratic. Redistricting this decade made the district considerably more Republican.

Outlook: Strong McCormick (Republican gain)

District 7

Lucy McBath (D-inc) vs. Mark Gonsalves (R)

District 8

Austin Scott (R-inc) vs. Darrius Butler (D)

District 9

Andrew Clyde (R-inc) vs. Michael Ford (D)

District 10

Michael Collins (R) vs. Tabitha Johnson-Green (D)

(Jody Hice (R) ran for Georgia Secretary of State.)

District 11

Barry Loudermilk (R-inc) vs. Antonio Daza-Fernandez (D)

District 12

Rick Allen (R-inc) vs. Elizabeth Johnson (D)

District 13

David Scott (D-inc) vs. Caesar Gonzales (R)

District 14

Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-inc) vs. Marcus Flowers (D), Angela Pence (L)

State Elections

Governor

Brian Kemp (R-inc) vs. Stacey Abrams (D), Shane T. Hazel (L), Al Bartell (I)

Analysis: This race narrowly went for Kemp in 2018, and Abrams is seeking a rematch. Kemp has a small advantage as an incumbent this time.

Outlook: Lean Kemp (Republican hold)

State Legislature

Chamber Control GOP DEM Others
Senate
GOP
34
22
House
GOP
103
76
1 vacant