Big fan of election and demographic numbers since 2006
 

2022 Election Outlook – Hawaii

Flag of Hawaii
Flag of Hawaii

My party abbreviation guide is here.

Hawaii is the 4th most Democratic state, voting 12.52% more Democratic than the national average.

Based on election data since 2000, Hawaii is trending Democratic (7.20% more Democratic than 2000).

The current Cook Partisan Voting Index for Hawaii is D+14.55.

U.S. Senate (Class 1)

Mazie Hirono (D) is up for re-election in 2024.

U.S. Senate (Class 3)

Brian Schatz (D-inc) vs. Bob McDermott (R), Feena Bonoan (L), Emma Jane Pohlman (G), Dan Decker (Aloha ʻĀina), TBD (I)

Outlook: Solid Schatz (Democratic hold)

U.S. House

District 1: Ed Case (D-inc) vs. Conrad Kress (R), Calvin Griffin (I)

District 2: Jill Tokuda (D) vs. Joe Akana (R), Michelle Tippens (L), John “Raghu” Giuffre (I)

(Kai Kahele (D) ran for governor.)

State Elections

Governor

David Ige (D) is term-limited.

Josh Green (D) vs. Duke Aiona (R), TBD (L), Keleionalani Taylor (NP)

Outlook: Solid Green (Democratic hold)

State Legislature

Chamber Control DEM GOP Others
Senate
DEM
24
1
House
DEM
47
4