Big fan of election and demographic numbers since 2006
 

2022 Election Outlook – Iowa

Flag of Iowa
Flag of Iowa

My party abbreviation guide is here.

Iowa is the 21st most Republican state, voting 6.27% more Republican than the nation as a whole.

Based on election data since 2000, Iowa is trending Republican (12.46% more Republican than 2000).

The current Cook Partisan Voting Index for Iowa is R+6.32.

U.S. Senate (Class 2)

Joni Ernst (R) is up for re-election in 2026.

U.S. Senate (Class 3)

Chuck Grassley (R-inc) vs. Michael Franken (D)

Outlook: Solid Grassley (Republican hold)

U.S. House

District 1

Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R-inc) vs. Christina Bohannan (D)

District 2

Ashley Hinson (R-inc) vs. Liz Mathis (D)

District 3

Cindy Axne (D-inc) vs. Zach Nunn (R)

Analysis: Axne won with less than 50% in 2020, winning only Polk County. Polk will be the county to watch in this district.

Outlook: Toss-Up

District 4

Randy Feenstra (R-inc) vs. Ryan Melton (D), Bryan Jack Holder (I)

State Elections

Governor

Kim Reynolds (R-inc) vs. Deidre DeJear (D), Rick Stewart (L), Robert Bond (I)

Outlook: Strong Reynolds (Republican hold)

State Legislature

Chamber Control GOP DEM Others
Senate
GOP
32
18
House
GOP
59
41