Big fan of election and demographic numbers since 2006
 

2022 Election Outlook – Kansas

Flag of Kansas
Flag of Kansas

My party abbreviation guide is here.

Kansas is the 18th most Republican state, voting 9.39% more Republican than the nation as a whole.

Based on election data since 2000, Kansas is trending Democratic (2.21% more Democratic than 2000).

The current Cook Partisan Voting Index for Kansas is R+10.99.

U.S. Senate (Class 2)

Roger Marshall (R) is up for re-election in 2026.

U.S. Senate (Class 3)

Jerry Moran (R-inc) vs. Mark Holland (D), David Graham (L)

Outlook: Solid Moran (Republican hold)

U.S. House

District 1

Tracey Mann (R-inc) vs. Jimmy Beard (D)

District 2

Jake LaTurner (R-inc) vs. Patrick Schmidt (D)

District 3

Sharice Davids (D-inc) vs. Amanda Adkins (R)

Analysis: Davids won by 10% last time, but this time faces a district made more Republican in redistricting and a more challenging national environment.

Outlook: Toss-Up

District 4

Ron Estes (R-inc) vs. Bob Hernandez (D)

State Elections

Governor

Laura Kelly (D-inc) vs. Derek Schmidt (R), Dennis Pyle (I)

Analysis: Without the highly controversial Kris Kobach, this race will be much closer.

Outlook: Toss-Up

State Legislature

Chamber Control GOP DEM Others
Senate
GOP
29
11
House
GOP
86
39