My party abbreviation guide is here.
North Carolina is the 25th most Republican state, voting 3.11% more Republican than the nation as a whole.
Based on election data since 2000, North Carolina is trending Democratic (7.55% more Democratic than 2000).
The current Cook Partisan Voting Index for North Carolina is R+2.99.
U.S. Senate (Class 2)
Thom Tillis (R) is up for re-election in 2026.
U.S. Senate (Class 3)
Richard Burr (R) is retiring.
Ted Budd (R) vs. Cheri Beasley (D), Shannon W. Bray (L), Matthew Hoh (G), Kimrey Rhinehardt (I), Brenda Rodriguez (I)
Analysis: North Carolina has been a Republican-leaning state in recent elections with some Democratic statewide wins. Former State Supreme Court Justice Beasley narrowly lost reelection in 2020, a less Republican year, and looks like a long shot in this race.
Outlook: Lean Budd (Republican hold)
U.S. House
District 1
Don Davis (D) vs. Sandy Smith (R)
Analysis: G.K. Butterfield (D) is retiring. This district has a significant nonwhite population but is highly rural and has recently trended right.
Outlook: Lean Davis (Democratic hold)
District 2
Deborah Ross (D-inc) vs. Christine Villaverde (R)
District 3
Greg Murphy (R-inc) vs. Barbara Gaskins (D)
District 4
Valerie Foushee (D) vs. Courtney Geels (D)
(David Price (D) is retiring.)
District 5
Virginia Foxx (R-inc) vs. Kyle Parrish (D)
District 6
Kathy Manning (D-inc) vs. Christian Castelli (R), Thomas Watercott (L)
District 7
David Rouzer (R-inc) vs. Charles Graham (D)
District 8
Dan Bishop (R-inc) vs. Scott Huffman (D)
District 9
Richard Hudson (R-inc) vs. Ben Clark (D)
District 10
Patrick McHenry (R-inc) vs. Pam Genant (D)
District 11
Chuck Edwards (R-inc) vs. Jasmine Beach-Ferrara (D), David Coatney (L)
(Madison Cawthorn (R) lost the primary.)
District 12
Alma Adams (D-inc) vs. Tyler Lee (R)
District 13 (new district)
Bo Hines (R) vs. Wiley Nickel (D)
Analysis: This Raleigh-area seat is swingy. It voted for Joe Biden (D) by less than 2 points, so in this environment, it is Republican favored.
Outlook: Lean Hines (Republican win)
District 14 (new district)
Pat Harrigan (D) vs. Jeff Jackson (R)
Analysis: North Carolina gained a district after the 2020 Census. This district combined minority-heavy areas of Charlotte with the ancestrally-Republican “wedge” region.
Outlook: Lean Harrigan (Democratic win)
State Elections
Governor
Roy Cooper (D) is term-limited in 2024.
State Legislature
| Chamber | Control | GOP | DEM | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | ||||
| House |