My party abbreviation guide is here.
New York is the 6th most Democratic state, voting 9.59% more Democratic than the nation as a whole.
Based on election data since 2000, New York is trending Republican (5.86% more Republican than 2000).
The current Cook Partisan Voting Index for New York is D+10.06.
U.S. Senate (Class 1)
Kirsten Gillibrand (D, WF) is up for re-election in 2024.
U.S. Senate (Class 3)
Chuck Schumer (D-inc, WF) vs. Joe Pinion (R, CON), Diane Sare (LaRouche Party), Thomas Quiter (L)
Outlook: Solid Schumer (Democratic hold)
U.S. House
District 1
Nick LaLota (R, CON) vs. Bridget Fleming (D, WF)
(Lee Zeldin (R, CON) is running for governor.)
Analysis: This district is roughly evenly divided, but the national environment should help LaLota.
Outlook: Lean LaLota (Republican hold)
District 2
Andrew Garbarino (R-inc, CON) vs. Jackie Gordon (D, WF)
District 3
Rob Zimmerman (D) vs. George Santos (R, CON)
Analysis: Tom Suozzi (D, WF) left the district to run for governor. This part of Long Island leans Democratic, but the national environment and rightward trends on Long Island make this district highly competitive.
Outlook: Toss-Up
District 4
Laura Gillen (D) vs. Anthony D’Esposito (R, CON)
(Kathleen Rice (D, WF) is retiring.)
District 5
District 6
District 7
Nydia Velazquez (D-inc, WF) vs. Juan Pagan (R, CON)
District 8
Hakeem Jeffries (D-inc) vs. Yuri Dashevsky (R, CON), Brian Mannix (Forward)
District 9
Yvette Clarke (D-inc, WF) vs. Menachem Raitport (CON)
District 10
Daniel Sachs Goldman (D) vs. Benine Najim Hamdam (R, CON), John Tobacco (L)
District 11
Nicole Malliotakis (R-inc, CON) vs. Max Rose (D)
District 12
Jerry Nadler (D, WF) vs. Michael Zumbluskas (R, CON)
District 13
Adriano Espaillat (D-inc) – unopposed
District 14
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-inc, WF) vs. Tina Forte (R), Desi Cuellar (CON), Jonathan Howe (L)
District 15
Ritchie Torres (D-inc) vs. Stylo Sapaskis (R)
District 16
Jamaal Bowman (D-inc, WF) vs. John Ciampoli (R)
District 17
Sean Patrick Maloney (D-inc) vs. Michael Vincent Lawler (R, CON)
Analysis: Maloney moved from the more competitive 18th district to this district to try to remain in office.
Outlook: Lean Maloney (Democratic hold)
Pat Ryan (D-inc, WF) vs. Colin Schmitt (R, CON)
Analysis: After Antonio Delgado was appointed Lieutenant Governor, Ryan narrowly won the special election in an upset. Ryan is now running in this near-evenly-divided district.
Outlook: Toss-Up
District 19
Josh Riley (D, WF) vs. Marc Molinaro (R, CON)
Analysis: After narrowly losing the aforementioned special, Molinaro is now running in this district.
Outlook: Toss-Up
District 20
Paul Tonko (D-inc, WF) vs. Liz Joy (R, CON)
District 21
Elise Stefanik (R-inc, CON) vs. Matt Castelli (D)
District 22
Brandon Williams (R, CON) vs. Francis Conole (D)
Analysis: John Katko (R), who significantly overperformed the presidential numbers in the district, is retiring. The district now includes Syracuse with its Southern Tier portion out.
Outlook: Toss-Up
District 23
Nick Langworthy (R-inc, CON) vs. Max Della Pia (D, WF)
District 24
Claudia Tenney (R-inc, CON) vs. Steven Holden (D)
District 25
Joseph Morelle (D-inc, WF) vs. La’Ron Singletary (R, CON)
District 26
Brian Higgins (D-inc, WF) vs. Steven L. Sams II (R, CON)
State Elections
Governor
Kathy Hochul (D-inc, WF) vs. Lee Zeldin (R, CON)
Outlook: Strong Hochul (Democratic hold)
State Legislature
| Chamber | Control | DEM | GOP | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | ||||
| House |