My party abbreviation guide is here.
New Mexico is the 15th most Democratic state, voting 3.02% more Democratic than the nation as a whole.
Based on election data since 2000, New Mexico is trending Democratic (6.79% more Democratic than 2000).
The current Cook Partisan Voting Index for New Mexico is D+3.39.
U.S. Senate (Class 1)
Martin Heinrich (D) is up for re-election in 2024.
U.S. Senate (Class 2)
Ben Ray Lujan (D) is up for re-election in 2026.
U.S. House
District 1
Melanie Stansbury (D-inc) vs. Michelle Garcia Holmes (R)
District 2
Yvette Herrell (R-inc) vs. Gabe Vasquez (D)
Analysis: This district was redistricted from a Donald Trump-voting district to a Joe Biden-voting district, but the strong rightward shift among Hispanic voters here makes a flip unlikely.
Outlook: Lean Herrell (Republican hold)
District 3
Teresa Leger Fernandez (D-inc) vs. Alexis Martinez Johnson (R)
State Elections
Governor
Michelle Lujan Grisham (D-inc) vs. Mark Ronchetti (R), Karen Bedonie (L)
Analysis: New Mexico may lean Democratic, but Lujan Grisham has faced some scandals and is facing Ronchetti, who overperformed expectations in the U.S. Senate race in 2020.
Outlook: Lean Lujan Grisham (Democratic hold)
State Legislature
| Chamber | Control | DEM | GOP | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | ||||
| House |