Big fan of election and demographic numbers since 2006
 

2022 Election Outlook – South Dakota

Flag of South Dakota
Flag of South Dakota

My party abbreviation guide is here.

South Dakota is the 9th most Republican state, voting 14.95% more Republican than the nation as a whole.

Based on election data since 2000, South Dakota is trending Republican (7.36% more Republican than 2000).

The current Cook Partisan Voting Index for South Dakota is R+16.39.

U.S. Senate (Class 2)

Mike Rounds (R) is up for re-election in 2026.

U.S. Senate (Class 3)

John Thune (R-inc) vs. Brian Bengs (D), Tamara Lesnar (L)

Outlook: Solid Thune (Republican hold)

U.S. House

District at large

Dusty Johnson (R-inc) vs. Collin Duprel (L)

State Elections

Governor

Kristi Noem (R-inc) vs. Jamie Smith (D), Tracey Quint (L)

Outlook: Solid Noem (Republican hold)

State Legislature

Chamber Control GOP DEM Others
Senate
GOP
32
3
House
GOP
62
8