Big fan of election and demographic numbers since 2006
 

2022 Election Outlook – Washington

Flag of Washington State
Flag of Washington State

My party abbreviation guide is here.

Washington is the 10th most Democratic state, voting 6.70% more Democratic than the nation as a whole.

Based on election data since 2000, Washington is trending Democratic (9.69% more Democratic than 2000).

The current Cook Partisan Voting Index for Washington is D+7.66.

U.S. Senate (Class 1)

Maria Cantwell (D) is up for re-election in 2024.

U.S. Senate (Class 3)

Patty Murray (D-inc) vs. Tiffany Smiley (R)

Outlook: Likely Murray (Democratic hold)

U.S. House

District 1

Suzan DelBene (D-inc) vs. Vincent Cavaleri (R)

District 2

Rick Larsen (D-inc) vs. Dan Matthews (R)

District 3

Joe Kent (R) vs. Marie Perez (D)

(Jamie Herrera Beutler (R) lost the first round.)

District 4

Dan Newhouse (R-inc) vs. Doug White (D)

District 5

Cathy McMorris-Rodgers (R-inc) vs. Natasha Hill (D)

District 6

Derek Kilmer (D-inc) vs. Elizabeth Kreiselmaier (R)

District 7

Pramila Jayapal (D-inc) vs. Cliff Moon (R)

District 8

Kim Schrier (D-inc) vs. Matt Larkin (R)

Analysis: Democrats and Republicans were fairly evenly matched in the first round, so this district will be competitive with the Democratic Seattle suburbs and the Republican rural areas and parts of Pierce County.

Outlook: Lean Schrier (Democratic hold)

District 9

Adam Smith (D-inc) vs. Doug Basler (R)

District 10

Marilyn Strickland (D-inc) vs. Keith Swank (R)

State Elections

Governor

Jay Inslee (D) is up for re-election in 2024.

State Legislature

Chamber Control DEM GOP Others
Senate
DEM
28
20
1 DEM (caucuses with Republicans)
House
DEM
57
41