Big fan of election and demographic numbers since 2006
 

2022 Election Outlook – Massachusetts

Flag of Massachusetts
Flag of Massachusetts

My party abbreviation guide is here.

Massachusetts is the 2nd most Democratic state, voting 14.33% more Democratic than the nation as a whole.

Based on election data since 2000, Massachusetts is trending Democratic (2.22% more Democratic than 2000).

The current Cook Partisan Voting Index for Massachusetts is D+14.19.

U.S. Senate (Class 1)

Elizabeth Warren (D) is up for re-election in 2024.

U.S. Senate (Class 2)

Ed Markey (D) is up for re-election in 2026.

U.S. House

District 1

Richard Neal (D-inc) vs. Dean Martilli (R)

District 2

Jim McGovern (D-inc) vs. Jeffrey Sossa-Paquette (R)

District 3

Lori Trahan (D-inc) vs. Dean Tran (R)

District 4

Jake Auchincloss (D-inc)

District 5

Katherine Clark (D-inc) vs. Caroline Colarusso (R)

District 6

Seth Moulton (D-inc) vs. Robert May (R)

District 7

Ayanna Pressley (D-inc) vs. Donnie Palmer, Jr. (R)

District 8

Steve Lynch (D-inc) vs. Robert Burke (R)

District 9

William Keating (D-inc) vs. Jesse Brown (R)

Analysis: The least Democratic district in Massachusetts will be one to watch.

Outlook: Lean Keating (Democratic hold)

State Elections

Governor

Charlie Baker (R) is retiring.

Geoff Diehl (R) vs. Maura Healey (D), Kevin Reed (L), Dianna Ploss (I)

Outlook: Likely Healey (Democratic gain)

State Legislature

Chamber Control DEM GOP Others
Senate
DEM
37
3
House
DEM
129
29
1 I, 1 vacant