My party abbreviation guide is here.
Michigan is the 20th most Democratic state, voting 0.65% less Democratic than the nation as a whole.
Based on election data since 2000, Michigan is trending Republican (6.30% more Republican than 2000).
The current Cook Partisan Voting Index for Michigan is R+1.04.
U.S. Senate (Class 1)
Debbie Stabenow (D) is up for re-election in 2024.
U.S. Senate (Class 2)
Gary Peters (D) is up for re-election in 2026.
U.S. House
District 1
Jack Bergman (R-inc) vs. Bob Lorinser (D)
District 2
John Moolenaar (R-inc) vs. Jerry Hilliard (D)
District 3
John Gibbs (R) vs. Hillary Scholten (D)
Analysis: Peter Meijer (R) lost the primary. This district includes the left-trending Grand Rapids and is probably the most anti-Donald Trump Republican area outside Utah, so the Trump-endorsed Gibbs will likely face a challenge here.
Outlook: Toss-Up
District 4
Bill Huizenga (R-inc) – unopposed
District 5
Tim Walberg (R-inc) vs. Bart Goldberg (D)
District 6
Debbie Dingell (D-inc) vs. Whittney Williams (R)
District 7
Elissa Slotkin (D-inc) vs. Tom Barrett (R)
Analysis: This district is evenly divided, with working-class areas and Lansing suburbs.
Outlook: Toss-Up
District 8
Dan Kildee (D-inc) vs. Paul Junge (R), Ethan Connor Hobson (C)
Analysis: Kildee is popular with a widely recognized surname, but this ancestrally Democratic working-class district has trended considerably rightward in recent elections.
Outlook: Toss-Up
District 9
Lisa McClain (R-inc) vs. Brian Jaye (D)
District 10 (new district)
Carl Marlinga (D) vs. John James (R)
Analysis: This is a new district that includes Macomb County, but the parts of Macomb in this district are more upscale and parallel Republican parts of Oakland County.
Outlook: Likely James (Republican gain)
District 11
Haley Stevens (D-inc) vs. Mark Ambrose (R)
District 12
Rashida Tlaib (D-inc) vs. Steven Elliott (R)
District 13 (new district)
Shri Thanedar (D) vs. Martell Bivings (R)
State Elections
Governor
Gretchen Whitmer (D-inc) vs. Tudor Dixon (R), Mary Buzuma (L), Donna Brandenburg (C)
Analysis: Whitmer has faced some controversies over COVID measures but is still fairly popular.
Outlook: Lean Whitmer (Democratic hold)
State Legislature
| Chamber | Control | GOP | DEM | Others |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Senate | ||||
| House |