Big fan of election and demographic numbers since 2006
 

2022 Election Outlook – New Hampshire

Flag of New Hampshire
Flag of New Hampshire

My party abbreviation guide is here.

New Hampshire is the 18th most Democratic state, voting 1.44% more Democratic than the nation as a whole.

Based on election data since 2000, New Hampshire is trending Democratic (4.68% more Democratic than 2000).

The current Cook Partisan Voting Index for New Hampshire is D+0.28.

U.S. Senate (Class 2)

Jeanne Shaheen (D) is up for re-election in 2026.

U.S. Senate (Class 3)

Maggie Hassan (D-inc) vs. Don Bolduc (R), Jeremy Kauffman (L), Geoff Wollacott (I), Steve Hattamer (I)

Analysis: After winning by a microscopic margin in 2016, Hassan faces a challenging re-election. Incumbency will be an advantage, but the national environment will be a disadvantage.

Outlook: Toss-Up

U.S. House

District 1

Chris Pappas (D-inc) vs. Karoline Leavitt (R)

Analysis: This district is ancestrally Republican, with many voters that voted Republican for president in 2012 and 2016 before voting for Joe Biden in 2020. These voters are likely to sour on Biden and Democrats in general, which likely won’t help Pappas.

Outlook: Toss-Up

District 2

Annie Kuster (D-inc) vs. Robert Burns (R)

State Elections

Governor

Chris Sununu (R-inc) vs. Tom Sherman (D), Karlyn Borysenko (L), Kelly Halldorson (I)

Outlook: Solid Sununu (Republican hold)

State Legislature

Chamber Control GOP DEM Others
Senate
GOP
14
10
House
GOP
207
188