Big fan of election and demographic numbers since 2006
 

2022 Election Outlook – Vermont

Flag of Vermont
Flag of Vermont

My party abbreviation guide is here.

Vermont is the most Democratic state, voting 14.82% more Democratic than the nation as a whole.

Based on election data since 2000, Vermont is trending Democratic (21.55% more Democratic than 2000).

The current Cook Partisan Voting Index for Vermont is D+15.05.

U.S. Senate (Class 1)

Bernie Sanders (I) is up for re-election in 2024.

U.S. Senate (Class 3)

Patrick Leahy (D) is retiring.

Peter Welch (D) vs. Gerald Malloy (R), Martha Abbott (Prog.), Mark Coester (C), Stephen Duke (I), Dawn Ellis (I), Cris Ericson (I), Kerry Raheb (I)

Outlook: Solid Welch (Democratic hold)

U.S. House

District at large

Becca Balint (D) vs. Liam Madden (R), Barbara Nolfi (Prog.), Matt Druzba (I), Adam Ortiz (I), Luke Talbot (I)

(Peter Welch (D) is running for U.S. Senate.)

State Elections

Governor

Phil Scott (R-inc) vs. Brenda Siegel (D), Susan Hatch Davis (Prog.)

Outlook: Solid Scott (Republican hold)

State Legislature

Chamber Control DEM GOP Others
Senate
DEM
21
7
2 Prog.
House
DEM
92
46
7 Prog., 5 I